Trump unlikely to pull out of ABC debate with Harris despite threats: Polymarket traders

“Yes” shares for “Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept. 10?” were trading at 84 cents in New York on Tuesday afternoon, indicating the market sees an 84% chance of it happening. The bets are locked into a smart contract on the Polygon blockchain: Each share pays out $1 (in USDC, a stablecoin or cryptocurrency that normally trades 1:1 to dollars) if the prediction comes true, and zero otherwise.