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CIO Weekly | Warum sich Japanese Aktien erholt haben

CIO Weekly | Warum sich Japanese Aktien erholt haben

The last days CIO Weekly Perspectives descended from the Neuberger Berman hosts Keita Kubota and Kei Okamura.


Years of war in Japan has produced a large industrial country, while most countries have a view of their könen. If the course of time does not last longer, then it will go fast to grow the two months.

After the yen fell in a whole war, the US dollar was strengthened by 12% in July and August. Japanese assets were quickly increased by 25%. The gains that were lost a few years ago, before the index had reached a value of 20%. And that’s not all: Japan is one of the last countries in the world, in 2024 there will be no more Wahlen. If Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is not even a Party leader, he knows he wants one.

Is Davon Zweifel positive about Japanese Aktien, has his year not started like that?

More than Large Caps

We start with the Yen.

While the Fed wants to start the Zinsen, the Bank of Japan starts with the interest rate. The so-called yen has a grim aufgewertet. We look at the foundation for the enormous abwicklung of carry trades, the market world in the annoying hat of August. For all the Japanese companies and American technology mega-caps, solutions have been found.

If more yen-financed positions are taken, an even bigger flight can be made. Viele Hedgefonds has acquired the power of the Abbau of Carry Trades and had started buying Short Positions in Japan. There is a huge amount of those positions that are covered and the best way to do that.

Dennoch has a fundamental fundamental and technical further education for companies. For us, the good Performance is Japanese Large Caps with the best quality, which is the Unternehmen hat. If our prices are 60% of the value and 70% of the profit in Ausland, in US dollars.

Large caps aren’t everything. We estimate that Japanese small and medium-sized companies only generate 30% of their resources in foreign countries. If you want to earn an income from a permanent business, you can make a profit on domestic consumption. The price of energy and other imported goods has fallen in one of the Yen revaluations.

If you spend a certain time, in the direction of the Arbeitgeber zu Lohnerhöhungen drängt. I am July and the real first time that I will continue to work for years. If you take one of the following steps in the Haushaltsausgaben, you will die in the 18 months that you have fallen. If the Japanese consumer climate index focuses on the Volkswirten, and the private consumption, which will last a year of war, most of the time is already a grim BIP-Wachstum in 2. Quartal hadte. The indoor consumption lasts the number smaller and smaller and the Japanese makes part of the installation possible.

Another set of writings with ready, which are rising sentences and a stronger Yen of the inevitable side effects see, if an economy normalizes again after years of stagnation and deflation. The volatility is not possible if the direction is determined.

Shareholder value

How was it with the grim market holding? How can it be that the technical ground has disappeared, while the short positions have been covered, the price has fallen? Have you invested in investors for a long time, but have you fundamentally gone financially crazy?

We believe that the stabilizing fundamentals are estimated. Most of life can miss the extreme of the yen, it takes longer to shift the orderly quarters and most a good view. You can not use the price if you do not react in July. If the yen has a relationship that is not attractive to dollar, money or euro based investors, this is not attractive.

If all goes well, the shares will be worth more in the future than the shareholders value. If you distribute more dividends, you can make more Aktienrückkäufen and stabilizing Company finances. The development takes longer, while more cross-border payments are removed and the boards are removed. During the annual reforms in the June period, the board members of a company started with governance problems, but they were also not stimulated.

Corporate governance is a fact, while activities are active – and these new activities will increasingly be yours. 2022, 2023 and 2024 should see twice as much action as in previous years, writes Glass Lewis. Have private equity firms expanding Bain, Carlyle and KKR in Japan or in the dort. If there is a new Japanese fund and a wave of management buyouts and umbrella boats lose, often with erheblichen gegenüber the market price.

When you are ready you can take action and help the higher Fusion and the extra small and mid caps as well. My corporate governance war will focus on the large and international economy. If you start with the pressure on your work, soda becomes a lot smaller and smaller on the own capital return of eights.

From the market in October 2022 to the final sales in August of the MSCI Japan SMID Cap Index, 25 percentage points back to the MSCI Japan Large Cap Index. One of the most recent trends in the Yen and governance reforms, which deserve those names, can be greatly improved, it is a matter of luck. Davon has a great experience.

Active manager and committed individual

Don’t ask the Frage, who is which Kishidas Rücktritt.

Kishida waged war against a market-friendly prime minister who fortified the reforms of Shinzō Abe and Vorgängers Jun’ichirō Koizumi. It is likely that the value of the product is no more than 20% – it could be that the soft drink yields a larger amount of war.

If the new head chef of the Liberal Democrats has a 50%-erreicht, a vorzeitige Neuwahl des Unterhauses nor in those years would have more fun. We have developed a populist Wahl program. However, all the candidates are also considered to be part of the mainstream of the party – and that some kind of mutually beneficial subvention would be detrimental to Japanese economics.

All in all, it is so that the first steps in the world have not even become a fundamental Japanese quality company. It is no longer the case that it is cheaper. Advice for active manager and involved owners of analysts, often neglected small and mid caps who want to go to their ascent and in August with a still long-term experience.

By Keita Kubota, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Japanese Equities and Kei Okamura, Portfolio Manager of Japanese Equities, Neuberger Berman

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