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There are predictions for Harris and Trump

  1. Heidelberg24
  2. Politics & Economics

Diese Bildkombination said Donald Trump, on October 1, 2024, with a Wahlkampfveranstaltung at Dane Manufacturing in Waunakee, Wisconsin, with a new solution, and Kamala Harris stitched, when he left the Bühne, on September 27, 2024 with a Wahlkampfkundgebung in Douglas, Arizona, a red content.
Did the American Wahl win? Laut Umfragen sich Kamala Harris und Donald Trump een Kopf-an-Kopf-Rennen. © Kamil Krzaczynski and Rebecca Noble/AFP

The origin of the US-Wahl is not clear. Harris and Trump are quick to lie. The Wahl system makes a separate roll possible.

Washington, DC – Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? Four weeks before the US-Wahl on November 5, this Frage nach wie niet zijn savory. It is a fact that the Präsidentschaft has fallen a bit into English.

If the first Blick is like this, Harris is one of the best Vorteils. Some refinements you can think of are the Democrats’ contenders who can gain land from the possibilities of the stimulus measures.

New Umphage for US-Wahl sees Harris land three Punkte for Trump

It is worth bridging the US fault. That’s October 8, the day of celebration New York Times (NYT) and Siena College sees Harris at 49 Prozent der Stimmen and Trump at 46 Prozent. Zum Vergleich: Die Mitte September von NYT en Siena veröffentlichte Umfrage sah Harris und Trump noch gleichauf op 47 Prozent. Harris also seems to be going for the US-Wahl Boden gutmachen zu können.

I think it’s all nonsense that appeals to the US-Wahl against Harris and the other side of Trump. The Statistical and Analysis Site FiveThirtyEight there was a delay of 2.6 months for Harris (Standing: October 8). Other analytics portals still see Harris looking a little bit further, which the following table says:

Race to the White House 49.3 46.1
Decision Desk Headquarters/The Hill 49.8 46.5
270toWin 49.3 46.5
Silver Bulletin 49.3 46.2

Umfragen voor US-Wahl sehen Vor- en Nachteile für Harris gegenüber Trump

Die Umphage von NYT/Siena said neither an interesting detail. Stimme Harris was born on November 5 to the American Wahl. Harris set his camp against the moderate Republikaner, who enabled a second Amtszeit Trump. So if you have a community with Rep. Liz Cheney, you can forgo criticism of Trump in his mandate.

Auch dies as one of the good causes for Harris. Otherwise the offers and the Republicans will come to the Left in their Party little gut an. Another different group that Harris has brought to the US: the Arab people in the US. How the Democrats can make a clear gain in their year here cannot save the turnaround in the fight against the Biden administration’s Israel-Gaza policy. Harris could find some impulses here.

Harris can find himself on a landsweite for the US-Wahl in Running against Trump not lost

It is possible to have Harris pay the Wahl costs. Since the guy works for Harris, things aren’t so rosy. It is located in the Wahlsystem of the US. The president or the president is not directly gewählt by the people, it is a land pasture that is letztlich in the Interest. The incentives of the Wahlberechtigten now separate the merger of a Wahlkollegiums. Wer im sogenannten Electoral College mindestens 270 van 538 Wahlute auf sich vereinen kann, zeeht ins Weiße Haus ein.

The protection of the Wahl system could help the American Wahl in our only new Federal State, in the Wahlausgang that works better. Was this concrete? More than 150 million people were absorbed by the US Wahl with their stimulus, but now a smaller brute is being made by the individual parts. With the help of running lessons, having fun in your current state of affairs:

  1. Arizona
  2. Georgia
  3. Michigan
  4. Nevada
  5. North Carolina
  6. Pennsylvania
  7. Wisconsin

The Zahlen der Vergangen both Wahlen machen das noch einmal besonders deutlich: 2020 thanked Joe Biden for a value of 43,000 Stimmen from Wisconsin, Georgia and Arizona – also guessed a 0.03 Prozent der landesweit abgegebenen Stimmen. In 2016, approximately 80,000 incentives were introduced, while Donald Trump secured his Vorsprung in the most influential Swing States.

It’s going to be exciting in US-Wahlkampf

Find out how to best stay informed with our free US-Wahl newsletter. Beiträge unserer renowned partner, wie van de Washington Post, liefern Ihnen the US perspective. Overset in German Sprache. Here is your Abo des US-Wahl-Kompakt-Newsletters.

Umfragen in Swing States voor US-Wahl sehen Kopf-an-Kopf-Rennen between Harris and Trump

Who now sees the environment in the Swing States? Derzeit hat Harris here a snap Vorsprung. The only road to Harris is in the three states of the “blue wand” – Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin – where a stimulation in the Wahlkollegium of the 2. Kongresswahlbezirks of Nebraska takes place. Harris lies in the threat of the Swing States that has won the time for Trump, in 2. Bezirk von Nebraska has received a German advance. Damit würde de Vizepräsidentin de besterorderliche Schwelle von 270 Stimmen im Electoral College erreichen. Harris is also very close to Nevada. Damit could join the US-Wahl 276 Stimmen in the Electoral College, but otherwise there is no great power.

Trump’s efficiency was lost to Sieg, the Swing States of North Carolina, Georgia and Pennsylvania were won, the Republikaner gained 270 votes in the Electoral College. The President of the United States has brought Harris to his knees, causing the Swing States of Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina to win in the Sun Belt and to become intertwined in Michigan or Wisconsin.

When the US-Wahl took office, it was Pennsylvania’s 19th Electoral College win. There are a few things Trump did when he did that. (cs)