US inflation falls to 2.5%: The Zinswende is coming

Inflation in the US has continued to decline. In August, inflation fell to 2.5% and in July to 2.9%. It is the latest version of the Verbraucherprijs as of February 2021. I am below 3.0% in June. Due to the positive development of inflation on core inflation, energy and economy-economy, there is a level of 3.2%. There are warnings that the experts have made a fuss in the past. When interest rates are lower than beige, core inflation in inflation was an increase of 0.3%.

Schwierige Entscheidung für die US-Notenbank

The rising costs in the housing sector pose a major change for the US-Notenbank Federal Reserve (Fed). In spite of the sinking inflation, experts see problems in the housing market as a problem for the big zinssenkungen. Tobias Basse, Volkswirt of NordLB, is the opinion, who calls the premium in the housing segment ‘a problem’ for the nut banker. Dennoch was probably an expert who came out, but the high price on the housing world that would take place in September in September would not be so.

The active data are peas, the Fed is confronted by the sentence separation in the commenden of a moderate Stride issue. If you use a larger amount of 0.5 percent points, while there is a remarkable performance, it may be that you get a senkung of 0.25 percent points. The Leitzins, of derzeit between 5.25 and 5.5%, will have only a minimal value.

If inflation figures are lower than the economic growth rate in a quarter of a healthy growth rate of around 2%, the Gründe for smaller decimals was dear, that the economy no longer has the new decimals under control. Commerzbank Volkswirters Christoph Balz and Bernd Weidensteiner write, who confirm these decimals forecasts the desire for a more cautious decimal. One of the many decimals that investors can signal is that the Fed is disrupting panic. It is so high that there is a great deal of involvement in monetary policy in the US.

It is so complex that the Fed decisions are so complex

The American Nut Bank is facing a major dilemma: if inflation falls by 2%, other banks will stabilize the economy and undergo a recession. The power that Entscheidung über Zinssenkungen is so complex.

As inflation is in jeopardy, the Fed will hold the Leitzins higher in 2022. The more the debt burden of the loans would increase, the capital and investments would be reduced and inflation would be reduced. The idea was that an aggressive policy of risk management, which would drive the economy down grimly, could lead to a recession. If the debt burden rose grimly, part of the investments could be invested in the company, and work places would be reduced.

A factor in this dilemma is the labor market. The Fed must make sure that if the unemployment rate is not so high, society and economic consequences die. A more stable labor market, with a new unemployment rate, is separated from a healthy economy. When people were lost in their work, when purchasing power had arrived, the question of goods and services was further reduced – a scenario in which a recessionary spiral could be solved. Once inflation has risen by 2%, inflation was never desired.

The Fed also needs to step back from inflation and control of the stability of the economy. If you play the business market data of an important role, if you say that the Wirtschaft genügend Jobs schafft, one of the income and the kaufkraft of man in life, inflation will go through an overheated crisis.

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